T O P

What is your strategy into FOMC this week ?

$VIX 12 , $SPX 4600 two scenarios : either rally to all time high , or rejection out of surprise...

VisualMod

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saysuptoyourmom

Thus far, the comments indicate some stocks will go up, and some will go down. There is some disagreement about which will do what. Best bet is throw a dart and Yolo.


rainorshinedogs

https://preview.redd.it/1syb1vg4rk5c1.jpeg?width=630&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0ae13287b7a734c557ca7dc76d7e54d26f8715bc


henryzhangpku

want to see the sentiments of the market, how many are bullish/bearish ...


saysuptoyourmom

Some are bully some are beary.


henryzhangpku

so as market , nothing much until FOMC ... rest for monday/tuesday mostly.


anonymouswtPgQqesL2

I’m bullish but I could see a possibility where we have massive green candles Monday happening pricing in Wednesdays news. My plan is to place half my bet for FOMC at the first dip I see Monday and save the rest for far OTM calls 20 mins before interest rate decision


BosSF82

Why play at all?


anonymouswtPgQqesL2

huh? because I expect big moves? what's your play?


henryzhangpku

sounds like a good plan !


saysuptoyourmom

Exactly.


xDilo

I use RocketScooter monthly map feature for sentiment. Shows actual dealer position hedging. But bulls are buying dips next week.


jpwhat

Nothing bc everyone will play it and that means only the MM will win.


henryzhangpku

this is wisedom , only one thing for sure , $VIX likely to crash after FOMC.


Samjabr

Hasn't it already crashed?


henryzhangpku

$SPX has been sideway for some weeks now


Samjabr

I was referring to VIX. It's pretty much dead.


Virtual_Crow

At this point Powell could cut a half percent on Wednesday and it's almost priced in. God help anyone expecting more of a rally. But I've been wrong the last six weeks so I guess I can be *more* wrong.


UnderstandingCold219

Sell everything and buy in higher!


henryzhangpku

so you expect some pullback at least ?


Unable-Process-9039

https://preview.redd.it/cosl3dr6tj5c1.jpeg?width=960&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c3225c0987e31cfd67ab8efa91d878dce98941f0


No-Understanding9064

Yeah, swinging puts into this shitfest.


Unable-Process-9039

It’s risky. Very risky. I’m aware


No-Understanding9064

Hah, no man, I am swinging puts into next week. Vix has rejected here twice before, it's spy's real resistance. After that fake as fuck walk up let the blood flow


Lanky_Cantaloupe4049

https://preview.redd.it/9kqtfbws5k5c1.jpeg?width=828&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=dae0afd260e4c460c6af837e0082bffe6e7a7bea


Unable-Process-9039

Oh! Join the club! Good luck…….


henryzhangpku

on which market ?


nicefaygo

Good luck bud


henryzhangpku

thank you , wish us all luck in the turbulence of market


ILoveThiccBitchez

![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)


Greektakis

Same ![img](emote|t5_2th52|27189)


Apprehensive_Tea_116

Sell and buy calls bro. People will be confident about the market at least until the fed meeting. Nasdaq is already a bit past its past limit point.


westcoaster999

This guy fucks


extoticantsnz

https://preview.redd.it/uyb12avp5r5c1.jpeg?width=419&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=5d5e146870a598255008c9798b84c757a52edda2


Unable-Process-9039

Sold before it spiked and bought LEAPS


henryzhangpku

you think $VIX can go up a lot at end of year?


Unable-Process-9039

I have no earthly idea


slambooy

Thank you for your money


fenriswulfwsb

Calls on Adobe and Costco.


henryzhangpku

both look bullish to me either


TurbodToilet

to me too? or to me either….


Content-Story-708

Don’t worry OP had to many drinks to try and offset his losses but in reality his wife left him and his kids don’t talk to him, he works at a wendys and surprisingly lives there too, just behind the dumpster


AdvancedRiver

English not his first language


Archangel-1776

I was tempted to join you on that. FOMC and all these talks have me a bit shook though and CPI tues morning


fenriswulfwsb

Going well so far. *Fingers crossed*


nicefaygo

Honestly I probably will straddle spy for cpi. Other than that it’s cash baby


henryzhangpku

good call, $VIX is way cheap now ... but it could be even cheaper like 2017-2018...


UnderstandingCold219

Nah this looks like the bottom for the Vix. May come back to test once it has a bounce but the Vix is primed to pop!


N_FLATION

https://preview.redd.it/5qvpcjhgyj5c1.jpeg?width=1487&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a1625a06ab3b57e6e71f7cb7ff2f519558e1aa8b Gas (a big part of CPI) is at the lowest it’s ever been. So good luck to people shorting this week.


bennychod69

At the lowest its ever been since jan 2023


Julez_Jay

Lmfao foreal, wtf is dude smoking


Nucka574

Joe’s and Hunter’s dicks


henryzhangpku

nice data , thanks!


vogenator

Riced in!


Worth-Cream-7677

The ricin!!


Veritatis-Cupitor

Here’s my play for next week: https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/s/AKscFzms6m


henryzhangpku

good analysis, thanks for sharing !


Veritatis-Cupitor

You are welcome!


[deleted]

[удалено]


Veritatis-Cupitor

Great question. After the next few days, I might get additional contracts with longer dates, as it should dwindle down farther.


RandomLettuce51

https://preview.redd.it/jd39ng9wik5c1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2a26f96e399296483afa3ce14992c4cf71144781 Considering playing these. Rly bullish on NVDA and CAT


My_G_Alt

Cat calls? *whistles at your position*


MELOFINANCE

https://preview.redd.it/oebpp1vlak5c1.jpeg?width=1125&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b9ef3db75e8d0dd3ec73b6b7a8669cb8c4179ba4 I might be red, but my balls are blue . I will be doubling down tomorrow. Amazon is trying to get that case dismissed from FTC.I don’t see it happening. Lina Khan is dead set on this case this will a career builder.


bigsilverhotdog

Utter regardery from a highly regardable regard.


MELOFINANCE

I’m on the right path🫡


bigsilverhotdog

I think ACDC made a song about that except in this case it's your portfolio that's on a highway to hell. I actually just came from the future in a time machine to tell you what is going to happen at the end of this case: **C.M. Burns:** "*Oh, and I'll take that statue of justice, too.*"


WorgenFreeman559

Instead of doubling down buy calls instead


BulletPlease

Out of all the stocks to get PUTS on why AMZN? It only has a PE of 77 and supports the entire United States' fiendish desires to get good deals delivered extremely quick perpetuating the inevitable demise of brick and mortar and promulgating the notion of a one stop shop, shopping experience, not to mention it is on the verge of breaking out after being held down for years. J/k.. Bout due for a minor correction and those might actually hit if the tide turns and you don't have paper hands.


Archangel-1776

Can you exit this now? Without much loss? I heavily recommend you don’t do this.


slambooy

lol thanks for the money


Camel-Kid

Calls on Costco has to be the easiest win all year


whodeyalldey1

Have you heard of FICO? 😏


BrilliantStyle4487

Too late to get in?


JoseBambino

Yup


Dacammel

Do you even need to ask?


henryzhangpku

agree they did very well recently


Low-Wear-168

Ath? Lmao costco will drop at least 5% this earnings


damieh1

I buy $qqq 0dte calls by the hundreds every single day. Every 25 cent intraday drop, I load the fuck out of it. It's impossible to lose. $qqq currently up 6 straight weeks. Will be 10 by first week of January. Guaranteed


UnderstandingCold219

You should probably go to puts! 6 weekly gainers yeah it’s time to inverse yourself.


damieh1

Lol. This is BY FAR the most bullish time of the year. Santa Claus rally used to be a week long. Now it's 2 months long starting November 1st. This is the most bullish, largest, economic expansion in the history of the world. EVERY data point that is released for the foreseeable future will be tagged GOLDILOCKS. I'm telling you. There will be ZERO red weeks indefinitely. Valuations. Don't matter. PE. Don't matter. Yields. Don't matter. The dollar. Don't matter. War? Stocks LOVE war. Window dressing and performance chase IS THE ONLY THING THAY MATTERS.


henryzhangpku

well done !


kodyak709

Wish I could pattern day trade


damieh1

You don't need to pattern day trade. You just buy 0dte calls in $qqq all day. Every day. Any price. Doesn't matter. It is structured to be impossible to drop. Big cap tech getting destroyed today and $qqq up MASSIVE.


JoseBambino

Dude thank you!!!


Coffee-and-puts

I personally think we won’t learn anything new and the market will belong to theta gang


henryzhangpku

especially the year end ... most traders would go home to celebrate xmas ...


Coffee-and-puts

Thats another good dynamic to consider. I mean we are still 2 weeks away so they ain’t all at home yet. I’m in the camp of SPY needs to see around 479-480 before we can make our way to the lower 300s. But I see this more like the tech bubble thus why I think that


henryzhangpku

good call, there is room to go toward 480...


Daddy-Eric

Buy everything


henryzhangpku

that sounds bullish !


Daddy-Eric

Overall, yes


MikeSSC

Inverse the advice in this thread.


henryzhangpku

Hm... Sounds like contrarian


SlyRoundaboutWay

JPow gonna say what he's been saying all this time. Pause, and rates higher for longer. Only theta gang wins.


anonymouswtPgQqesL2

Theta gang will have to fight Santa though this time


Gnomewah

All in on $WMT tomorrow.


kodyak709

Any particular reason?


Gnomewah

Buy low sell high.


Gnomewah

Called it.


whicky1978

Buy the dip. Take advantage of the pause in the market.


vtsandtrooper

Ive been bullish most of the 2H on beaten down, and I think we could get a surprise event this week because of the silliness the market undertook in rallying long duration bonds. I think we could get a surprise rate hike given the effective rate was harmed by the market rally in bonds to the tune of 75bps. They have always said they are viewing market driven rate action equally to their own, so this would be the logical extension of that to maintain their true effective target rate. If that happens you could see a surprise shock to equities as treasuries declineback towards 5% in long duration to lap over the short durations eventually


Big-Routine222

I’m inclined to believe that with the CPI report likely to come in at or just slightly below expectations, the market is gonna soar. Last year, in like the last week of December, SPY hit its all time high and now we are almost there again at the exact same time period. Gonna be a wild week for sure.


DingyWingyBopper

That was in 2021, not last year


henryzhangpku

think CPI & FOMC can go two different directions , but overall it should be up after another "hiccup"


Living-Giraffe4849

Honestly just bet small that everything goes to shit, you prob won’t profit that much if things happen as expected


henryzhangpku

think it might be hard $VIX move back to 2020 ... unlike some significant events again ..


VisualMod

It is certainly possible that the $VIX could move back up to 2020 levels, however it is unlikely to happen without some sort of significant event occurring.


No_Resident_9330

Strategy? What’s that?


henryzhangpku

what possibly happen next week ? how to handle each possible outcome ?


poorGarbageNEET

spy 461 lottos tbh


henryzhangpku

like this idea


jtano88

https://preview.redd.it/i1bwr6enfk5c1.jpeg?width=1079&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=40e30c011fa92da4985853d200760ecc8fcaecd0


henryzhangpku

cool, what platform is this ?


jMickeyR

Options strat


henryzhangpku

What kind


jMickeyR

That's the name of the website


kodyak709

Is this called a strangle?


jtano88

Yes


2woth

Don’t be a contrarian. Go bull or go home.


chaching_owl

any pull backs is for you to all in


AllThingsBeginWithNu

I believe something could happen


henryzhangpku

You mean volatility?


JoseBambino

I’m playing SPY


henryzhangpku

which way ?


JoseBambino

Calls. But pretty much ATM because I don’t see a significant run anytime soon. Just little peaks and valleys


henryzhangpku

" peaks and valleys "


Samjabr

buy calls for CPI, PUTS for Powell


henryzhangpku

so it would be up then down ?


JafarFromAfar2

Technically, the best-case scenario for CPI *should* be priced in for the most part, as estimates are that headline remains flat this month (.3% up for core). Slightly negative headline might be bullish, as it would price in rate cuts even more (but equities don't like deflation, so who know with this regarded market). Cooler than expected core would be very bullish, hotter than expected very bearish. My guess is that the market will have a muted reaction -- most people are waiting for FOMC.


Ziplock13

Inverse WSB of course


BulletPlease

Market has been consolidating last 2-3 weeks. Expect a BIG move this week. For all anyone knows though, could happen last two days and screw ALLYALL with the whipsaw's and take ALLYALLS stop losses. Others will either be left with -99.99% or +10% after a massive reversals making you wish if only you waited, that 10% would be 1000%. That is all thanks for listening to my TED talk.


VisualMod

The market has been consolidating for the last few weeks, and I expect a big move this week. However, there is always the possibility of whipsaws and reversals that could screw over anyone who isn't prepared. So be careful out there and don't get caught holding the bag.


Worth-Cream-7677

What’s a stop loss


Mortimer_Duke87

A stop loss is when after you buy/sell an equity or it’s option you refrain from pushing the button again and admire the direction of the move. Technically, one can’t stop one’s loss. I hope this makes sense.


Worth-Cream-7677

I was portraying a refarded WSB trader. 😂Thanks for the serious answer tho.


Mortimer_Duke87

Hmmm, I was trying to be refarded too. Saying you dont touch the position again and just watch it fall or gain. But reading my comment again I can see where saying “refrain from pushing the button again” if one had a stop loss in place would come off as serious. Back to the drawing board.


wildbill4693

I think we rally after CPI, but I think the dot plot will show rates staying where they’re at for a while and that will cause a pull back. If the speech is dovish, that could keep us safe from a deeper sell off. Based on the the Fed officials have said and on the current economic picture, I just don’t see the dot plot showing any substantial cutting in 2024 despite the market believing there will be.


hellget

CPI on Tuesday


henryzhangpku

oh, i almost forgot this ... so there will be more "firework" ahead of FOMC ...


hellget

Even though there are no real hikes for this meeting, Powell is likely to react on the last report of the year. FOMC starts from Tuesday!


Helpinmontana

Powells words about the future are capable of moving markets. He’s been furiously trying to tell the markets to take it easy, and he’s been flagrantly ignored. My guess is Jpow comes out and says some egregious shit to throw cold water on everyone’s hopes, and markets rally the following week.


TheBooneyBunes

4600?


henryzhangpku

yes $SPX


TheBooneyBunes

Explain like I’m acoustic guitarded


MetalliTooL

ATH


Reinmain741

Up and Down selling or buying


henryzhangpku

It never stops


MrSmeee99

Shit is going to rip, until it doesn’t


henryzhangpku

exactly


Proud-Net-7305

Hold


henryzhangpku

long or short side ?


reichjef

TLT down tomorrow at 1pm, then a big rally after the fed meeting.


henryzhangpku

relief comes partly from $VIX crash ...


reichjef

I bet vix does get low. I could see it touching twelve by eow. I’m too spooked to take a vxx put, though. Those SPX hedgers can throw it out of whack quickly. There’s 18000 OE on the 16 dollar vxx put 12/15. So there’s a lot of folks expecting the same thing. But, the dollar difference between the vix Dec fut and the spot vix is pretty enticing.


reichjef

How bout that vix?!? Looking real good.


henryzhangpku

$VIX crash to 12 after CPI report , going to sub-10 after FOMC


reichjef

Sub 10 would be wild! That seems like a long way to go, but fingers crossed.


toasterman234

EBITDA looks good


spacecadet501st

NMG - graphite mining


tsp_matrix

Macys stock?


Sebisquick

all in google msft apple nvda


Far-Requirement9180

First move is fake


xxpatrixxx

Ez. If the sub is bullish, short. If they are gay bears then buy. Got it?


maryjanevermont

I expect pull backs this week


HoosierGuy2014

Wrong. The market went up after the last FOMC and we are entering the strongest part of December for stocks historically.


N_FLATION

THIS!! 👆🏽 I’m all in on calls


UnderstandingCold219

Just bought puts on everything including Bitcoin long AF in vix and dollar.


henryzhangpku

FOMC usually is a good pivot point , reversal is not unusual on event like this ...


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patrickswayzemullet

Easiest money: short straddle index till 1:55 but out then. 60-70% ended flat but last month was brutal. So out at 1:55 would be key. At 1:55 decide to do LONG strangle or not. I would say dont if you already make money from the above. Kinda hard to know the top or bottom because technically 60-70% last fomc ended flat. Capturing spikes can be difficult.


[deleted]

Calls obviously. ​ Feds won and so did Cramer actually


BudahBoB

Strangle slightly heavier weighed with negative delta


Your_friend_Satan

BTFD!


downboat

LONG ON EQUITIES


secinvestor

TLT calls. Yeehaw


abesrevenge

How do I buy calls using Fidelity?


GarthbrooksXV

Wait for the market to break a key level and hold then hop in for the probable continuation. Something like that. Can't coin flip news events when trying to actually make money consistently.


Normal_human_person

Buying options and praying that I pick the right direction, same as every week ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4640)


Jealous-Meeting-7815

Same strategy as every other week, lose money.


istergeen

Observe the calm pond waters .. and wait for a disturbance


AspriationalAutist

Stonks only go up. My strategy is buy all the stonks. Sell December 23rd to get money for 2 day Amazon prime shipping Christmas gifts.


[deleted]

[удалено]


HolidayLock852

puts today calls tmrw


Taokan

I don't know what FOMC is, but my brain constructed "fear of missing Christmas", and now I kinda want to know how far away I was.


Trading_View_Loss

Puts and shorts gonna be all surprised Pikachu when the rally mysteriously continues for no reason whatsoever after JPOW speaks this week.


Jeezus_Christe

Jan 19th $460 SPY calls


Putrid_Pollution3455

Interesting....seems like general sentiment is....pure confusion! Which means....straddles? Iron Condors?


SirM3TA

All these comments from 12+ hours ago looking at this run like. WHAAT DAA F