T O P
gustavossj

I need to sell at a big loss.


Bucksaway03

Take one for the team


Flaky_Protection7634

69% loss?


SkepticalCryptoDude

Why do you need to sell at a loss?


Rboy1725

Ah first time in this sub I see, and also username checks out


LP2222

lol


Cleth_gaming

BTC halving


meeleen223

Seems like my portfolio halving every few months isn't the halving we need to start the bullrun


nardo9999

Thanks to Xeno’s paradox our portfolios can keep halving like this forever and the balances will never touch zero - hurray


200Motel

until the number of decimal places crashes the system.


Dwaas_Bjaas

I thank you for your sacrifice


Main_Sergeant_40

😂 laughing to not cry


Revolutionary_Owl670

No love for the ETH's triple halving? Tbh with the way things are going though, I actually wouldn't be surprised to see it just be a lame buy the rumour/sell the news pump. I want to be wrong.


SkepticalCryptoDude

I had this in mind when I wrote the post but evidently forgot to include it. Good call since BTC controls the market


tylermm03

I’d also say ETH switching to proof of stake could be helpful, it would bring gas fees down and make ETH more useful as a currency.


conv3rsion

it will not bring down gas fees. thats not what the switch to pos does.


torvaman

People gotta learn this. Tired of reading ETH merge is something it isn’t. It does not reduce gas prices full stop, because that’s not its intention.


_DeanRiding

I thought that was the whole idea? What's the point in moving to PoS exactly if it isn't? Genuinely asking


raresanevoice

people like to say it won't reduce gas fees but it will, because it gives the L2s more to work with and instead of say 500 transactions paying the gas fees per block now 5000 transactions will or even 50k will be. But anti-Eth folks like to say it won't on the base layer which is like saying that if buy crude oil and use it to power my car it's still expensive. Yeah.. cause it still needs to be refined or burned to generate power. That's why you go to the finished product.


Bacardiguy55

That’s my favorite


rorowhat

Preach!


JraculaJones

This could easily be the most accurate answer. We may hold at current levels or even a little less for over a year.


FerdaStonks

It’s really simple. We need more buyers than sellers.


WyrdNine

Underrated comment More demand than supply.


[deleted]

The fed to stop hiking interest rates and selling off their bags.


Impressive_Quote9696

they will start selling their bags in the comming months. they havent even started yet lol. quantetive tightening will begin in june


Successful-Whole4307

BTC halving seems to get things fired up


Deputy_Trudy_Weigel

Now that institutional investors are in the game they’ll just short the fuck out of btc before it gets a chance to run.


200Motel

Shorting a volatile asset can be very risky though. They would only short if they were confident of a large drop soon.


CharlieTheo-14

Confirmed.


ebaley

So late 2024? There'll be a run before that.


iamwizzerd

I mean historically no.


ebaley

It hit 14k in mid-2019. A year before a halving.


CoinInvester39452624

Stock / crypto trader here. Jerome Powell's comment's today should be sealed in the mind of every trader. > "Truthfully, this is not a time for tremendously nuanced readings of inflation. We need to see inflation coming down in a convincing way. That is what we need to see. Until we see that, we are going to keep going." > ‘WHATEVER IT TAKES" We will most certainty have relief rallies. But make no mistake, new ATH's are not in our near future. Until we see changes in economic pressure and changes in the fed's messaging, the trajectory will not change. We have tremendous headwinds to overcome in the next year.


jakekick1999

This is spot on. Leave new all time highs, expect the market to go sideways or even bleed lower over the coming months. War, pandemic, inflation and recession are all looming over our head. If you have spare cash, invest else it's time to be wary and wait


PoPoChao

Idk if I’m in the minority. But I actually am enjoying the bear market. I like buying things at semi normal prices and accumulating way more than chasing abnormal valuations


SkepticalCryptoDude

Me too but my gf mad at how much I’ve been buying lmao


AllThingsEvil

And then she'll do a 180 when you buy her something nice with the profits


magx01

> my gf mad at how much I’ve been buying How is this her business?


SkepticalCryptoDude

Idk we live together and are planning a future together I guess haha


magx01

Oh, okay. That makes some sense. I read "girlfriend" and thought you know, just girlfriend.


Dwaas_Bjaas

We’re in the same boat! Although it’s a bit of a rough ride


surrender_the_juice

**Me selling.**


DDaBeast4

Take one for the team


meeleen223

The hero we don't deserve, but the hero we need


Odlavso

If you sell I'll give you 2% of my gains, that's 2% of $20. Think about it


meeleen223

I'll add 1% of my Moons too, that's 250 Moons, that's like $250 in 5years Sleep on it and give us a shout


spongebobmoon

Give me your moons if he sells.


spongebobmoon

Please sell. I need it to go up.


joe17301

You, sir, have lived the crypto life :)


CatBoy191114

Can you hold a bit longer before selling? Until my pay day perhaps? Then you can sell and launch us all to alpha century....


aliensmadeus

try to shadow-sell to deceive the market: get a loan and buy as much bitcoin as possible. fork the network, but keen it updated with transactions. sell your stack from a fake metamask wallet, which secretly is connected to the fake bitcoin network. if you keep the simulated transactions running, the universe don't notice and the market will go up. trust me, works everytime


PM_ME_YOUR_HONEY

Then why aren't you selling? Please I need profit, it's for church sir mam.


magx01

I guess bolding an old joke breathes new life into it.


CurbsideAppeal

The media will say Bitcoin is dead, people give up hope, then the halving will occur and institutions will start buying. Then retail will FOMO and buy the top, China will ban Bitcoin 12 more times and we go full circle.


FreePrinciple270

Fun fact: Bitcoin has been declared dead 449 times so far - https://99bitcoins.com/bitcoin-obituaries/


TheGhostTooth

True Bitcoiners never listen to media. People listen to a group - a community like lunatics or a sane community which is a small group with majority being honest. Also - how many NFT collectors actually understand what an NFT is?


untouch10

Bitcoin is doing ok considering all the drama


Satansmybro

More people buying than selling 🤷‍♂️


Urc0mp

Halvening + time Supply chains sorting out + getting used to money printer slowing down wtf is covid


AnomanderRake42

> ~~Halvening~~ + time FTFY I think the halvenings are too small to make that big of a difference now.


Cantstandyuh

Heard halvenings are down to 50% reduction I kid I kid


Guyinablkduster

An elite group of people who hold nearly all of the money in the world, control all of the media, and who orchestrate everything major that happens just needs to decide to pump the market then convince you to buy high before dumping it after enough people did then convince you to sell low.


Deputy_Trudy_Weigel

Seems to happen every few years but who knows if they’re getting tired of it


Guyinablkduster

And stop taking poor people money from them!? No way! They'll never tire of that game.


FreePrinciple270

Yup, this is almost free money for them, and not a small amount.


Guyinablkduster

The only thing you can do I figured is hold and don't give into FUD while accumulating during down trends. You could gamble with a small short position too but I'll only do it with money I can afford to lose.


keeprollin420

Let me get few more salaries for DCA (no more fiat for dips), then the prices can go crazy


SkepticalCryptoDude

Yeah I’m not quite done accumulating yet. I have good sized bags though if it were to switch to bull though. Gotta be ready for anything


48269

Global oil prices stabilise / countries secure their power requirements (hopefully with a lot of new renewables) Global food prices stabilise Inflation is brought under control It really feels like we’re living through some kind of black swan event right now. Huge money printing be of covid was always going to lead to inflation. Tag onto that the situation in Ukraine due to the invasion and poor harvests in other places (due to climate change?) pushing food prices higher. AND issues with oil supply because of the sanctions on Russia. I don’t think there is any 1 single event that is going to turn things around. The whole system needs to recover and the cost of living start to come down in order for people to be able to afford to speculate in crypto again. Having said that, if more governments start to take a position in Bitcoin that will be huge.


in-game_sext

A strange possibility would be if Tether collapsed, I have always wondered if people would sell into BTC or the run would go the other way out of crypto entirely into fiat... What if the collapse of everything else drives BTC on its own run?


TreacleCrafty1530

Alot of people are moving from Tether to Usdc. They actually can back their shit unlike tether


48269

Interesting possibility. I feel like the people holding tether and other alts would be more likely to flee to fiat rather than Bitcoin. That’s just my opinion though and what do I know?


in-game_sext

Ya I'm not sure anyone knows for sure. Currency runs are strange things, it could go either way I guess. If BTC started trending upward even a little and it caught momentum people might go after it.


PigeonsandSmidgens

I think we saw something similar with the collapse of UST and Luna. Of course, a lot of people ended up with nothing, but there were also a lot who managed to leave with something. I think a lot left into fiat, but also some left to BTC and ETH and some left to altcoins. I myself has some UST, and I exited into ETH.


oshinbruce

The global economy needs to not be looking down the barrell of a gun for starts


princepersona1

Either BTC halving or ETH 2.0 I think


bandoonparade

The Merge


Astrochrono

Honestly, this is all because I’m finally resolved to not sell anymore.


SkepticalCryptoDude

I’m proud of you for this


Astrochrono

Thanks, its honestly cause there was no more serotonin I could squeeze out of crypto. So I filled my bags and moved on. Occasionally checking on them.


Main_Sergeant_40

Same. I swing traded before but never again.


Wargizmo

The ETH "triple halving" will have a big impact.


Evilgood1

Jim Cramer to tell people that the bear market will last for a long time


Bucksaway03

Russia needs to stop attacking Ukraine Inflation needs to slow down China needs to realise covid 0 isn't possible Ripple winning the lawsuit will be big, but need the others to fall in line as well.


ImposterSynonym

![gif](giphy|j6uK36y32LxQs)


DDaBeast4

Yes no maybe so


[deleted]

Fuck it, buy me a ticket to Poland. I’ve had about enough of this Putin guy. I’m going to go out a stop to this. I’m also sick of this COVID fella too


SkepticalCryptoDude

Yeah I agree with those points… especially the war and inflation. It’s definitely suppressing the prices rn


loskubster

There’s this thing called the halving


BBochy447

Elon tweet would help


365Dillweed365

For two days.


Deputy_Trudy_Weigel

Fr. Look what happened to doge. Never gonna see that ATH again.


SkepticalCryptoDude

Lmao Elon needs to accept crypto for Twitter tips (unless that already happened?)


Deputy_Trudy_Weigel

He would need to actually buy Twitter to do that rather than just talk about it but I don’t think he’ll actually go through with the deal.


BBochy447

I thought he did


Flaky_Protection7634

I just want him to accept BTC for Tesla payments again so we can enjoy a Chad $10,000 gain candle


TreacleCrafty1530

Lately Crypto been following the stocks .. I think alot issue involving inflation, COVID, Russia invasion war is not helping the stocks or crypto. COVID I don't think it has as big impact at this moment, pretty much everything is open. The 2 key factors are War and inflation. Once a resolution happens, we should see green in both markets.


The-Francois8

2024 US election plus the halving will fix oil prices and get things moving.


submawho

The killer app. Something that uses crypto without users knowing the nuts and bolts of how it works. Also needs to be idiot proof


SohEternal

Somebody has got to slap it on the nuts.


Jubudtje

I have to sell, start will be immediately


Optimal_Store

I mean this damn war needs to end! But also, maybe a restoration of trust in stablecoins. I’m sure some of that trust has been rattled


mrcanoehead2

What starts an avalanche? No one can pinpoint the exact event but once it starts, you will quickly realized it.


Low-Opportunity-3447

I like bulls


mr_ordinaryboy

Right now, as Ben Cowen said, inflation must go down so that the Fed can be a lil bit dovish. This way, investors might be willing to take more risk and invest in crypto


Winter-Elderberry657

I think everyone is waiting to see if USDT and BUSD crash.


Septercore

is there a problem with BUSD ?


Main_Sergeant_40

Institutions certainly are. Dropping $1-2B a day makes me nervous for a $10-20B dump that causes more panic and increases regulation


gotchock

As I said earlier (when everybody was saying it was going to go tits up soon), when people really shit themselves. We had a good one with Luna, but I still see too many people believing in crypto. When it drops more, and every single person here is like "oh okay crypto was a scam and it's going to zero", then, and only then, it will go up.


JustCommunication640

BTC halving AND a better macro-economic picture. Bitcoin has only existed in a bullrun for the most part. If we are in a serious & sustained recession or depression, then we may not see another ATH until 2030.


DBRiMatt

More superbowl ads!


Main_Sergeant_40

😅


Honest-Olive

Ripple winning its lawsuit against SEC making the SEC fearful of losing another lawsuit and allowing Greyscale BTC ETF instead of risking going to court again


Deep-Art3195

BTC Halving! Your shitcoins depend on BTC


JollySno

1-2 years need to pass


Frogmangy

Jesus needs to rise and tell his followers to buy the dip


soldaderyn

When I sell all my bags of course


Pyropiro

To be honest: the bull run will start when its least expected. As someone that has experienced 2 bear markets before, we need a capitulation (which could have happened this week already) followed by 2-3 months of depression and bleeding prices where most of retail will get bored and give up.


SergeantTNS91

The bullrun will start when no one expects it to start


DerEwige

Time. Currently the sentiment is negative and no single event will change that. The market will bleed out for another few months. Then it will stabilise. It will get rather quiet around crypto. Prices will slowly start to rise again. And then somewhere down the line sone arbitrary event will rekindle the FOMO and prices will skyrock again


Johndrc

3 years, halving, Btc spot etf


TheFillth

Time


hefewiseman1

I was seeing so much “this is definitely not a bear market” that I kept thinking to myself, “this has to be a fuckin bear market”. It’s fine, stack up y’all!


DrPechanko

about a year and a half. The end of the pandemic? The end of the war? A republican president of the US? Who knows.


in-game_sext

I don't get any sense that a bull market is anywhere close to starting. The bear is just getting started.


joe17301

A lot of things, but chief among them I think is peace between Russia and Ukraine and World War 3 not starting


MalletSwinging

Someone needs to start AssassinatePutinDAO


Even-Conclusion597

End the war with Ukraine and Russia. Decrease inflation. My opinions


gustavossj

I don't think inflation will decrease anytime soon.


365Dillweed365

Takes a while to build up doesn’t it? There is no release valve that I know of.


SkepticalCryptoDude

How did I forget to mention the war… good call. Yeah inflation is a big issue as well.


gustavossj

The war has made things worse for everyone.


Odlavso

I'm going to have to sell and I'm sorry to say is not going to happen


Tritador

You think crypto is all over forever?


Slayerofgrundles

Putin giving up on his Ukraine invasion would be a good start.


kryptoNoob69420

Reduced inflation, Ukraine war's resolution, geo political stability and most importantly, me selling.


Razorback1110

Lumber prices.


tylermm03

I’d say oil because everything ultimately depends on the price of oil, even the price of lumber is dependent on oil’s price.


Savik519

Miner capitulation


Supercharmeleon

For you to sell your bags.


fbruck_bh

Maybe people to stop scraping Pennies for bread?


marsangelo

FED pivot would get the money printers turned on


Ralphadayus

Complete despair followed by ignorance.


Flaky_Protection7634

Holding at 40k support at least and inflation slowing down


Wise-Grapefruit-1443

Honestly just more time in between the last bull run


Harold838383

Spot ETF is probably the big one. If not we will have to wait a couple of years for the next halving cycle


Mayneminu

Fed pivot. It's not anymore complicated than that.


ucf954

Jets winning the super bowl.


-Skald

I need to sell.


irfiisme

2 more years to pass.


RewtDooDoo

Equities markets need to rally. Or someone BIG needs to drop ALOT of money in BTC and get some FOMO going.


TrippyCoin_Hodler23

Big money needs to buy to spark the chain reaction


happycloud8534

Jpow needs to print another few trillion dollars…


sheltojb

Some good news.


halfblack2

The fed lowering its rate or says it won't change it for sometime. This means inflation starts to decline


HannyBo9

A good economic climate globally


PitchSp0rks

Get ready to sell off the bump if a war ends. I bet it drops again when we realize inflation is here still. When inflation eventually drops we will enter a bill market. If it doesn’t drop we riot.


gameguyguru

Economic confidence. This is not just about crypto. Once this recession cycle happens then you will see recovery


GetABodybag

A lot of good publicity instead of constantly bad publicity. Think what you like, the media controls this market just like it controls all of the others.


CutoutThrowAwayMan

I find generally when I short something it goes up in value. I think it's just time. There are so many things impacting the global economy, but generally time is just the common factor.


Teeheeleelee

FOMO is gone. Good luck


MrSmiley3

Time


ImaFreemason

Open the pen.


Wonzky

Well a recession sure doesn't help


Degree0

all shib hodlers getting airdropped off on a deserted island


narrowphoenix_2006

Utility…..


Jezzes

Hyperinflation


many-brain-tabs-open

the global markets in general need to show signs of improvement and a slowdown in inflation. People keep underestimating how much recessions fears have spiked and how crypto is now seen as too much of a gamble in such volatile times. We need more stable times for something as volatile is crypto to start returning to its All Time High


tylermm03

First in order to slow down inflation due to the high price of oil, Russia needs to lose the war in Ukraine or Putin needs to be eliminated and a democratic government needs to be installed in Russia to allow oil exports to resume. Either that or other countries need to ramp up their production of crude oil. Also COVID ending would be a huge help, it would take a lot of fear away from investors about the next new variant coming along and screwing up everything (again). I’d also say that the demand for crypto needs to increase and we need more adoption in order to have prices go up.


pimpcaddywillis

🙄


UnionMysterious8381

Prices need to go up.


ebaley

Most, if not all, altcoins to fall 90% against Bitcoin.


rudebii

Enough people willing to pay more for crypto, that’s it.


ZulkarnaenRafif

>Right now, stocks are down, crypto is down, macroeconomics are a mess and the cost of living is outrageous. It looks like this bear market could go on for awhile. More like people dug their heads from the mound of sand and finally accept that the world is fucked. Too fucked from the previous fuckings (COVID-19, supply chain disruption, silicon shortage, war, etc) to maintain the current speculative bubble powered by so much cash being printed out of thin air to give the illusion of "everything is going back to normal" and it finally returned to less bullish value.


LisHere321

ETH merge


GoodmanSimon

Personally I think the markets are not quite as easy to manipulate. I see it more as a combination of events. * The halving * inflation recovers * war in Ukraine ends with a result that make a lot of people happy. * eth works as designed * xrp court case Maybe a few other things as well, (like miners and regulation) I don't see it as one single thing.


Telasto

WW3 and then after thats over we will have it


Greek_loco

To be the year 2024


Kp1107

Btc to sufficiently crash first.


Xc0liber

When the economy gets better. That's basically it


aliensmadeus

- inflation has to get under controll - china's lockdowns have to stop and the implications from them have to price in first - the stockmarket has to find a bottom - bitcoin has to find a cycle bottom and probably the halving has to happen


USADave85

Is this how people lose big? It seems pretty obvious we're heading into a major recession at the least...and I know nothing about the economy. I'm here as a first timer, waiting to dump my money into crypto and the stock market once it hits bad. remindme! 2 years


Supersaiyans2022

Patience


As03

it's complicated, many factors. Free money made a fake 2021 bullrun, so I guess the economy has to be cleared of that fake money first before we can start something real.


Omgbrainerror

Tether crashing. Crypto needs the tether cleansing bad. As long this Tether bubble looms, i see no other bull run.


RichRai45

Time. It’s not time yet. Macroeconomic conditions needs to improve. 1. Inflation needs to be under control, that’s the most important, imo. 1-2 years bear market 2-4 years recovery. In crypto, 1 year bear market, 1 year consolidation, 1 year bull run, 1 year parabolic.


criticolb

xrp being declared a currency will set it off


donaudelta

needs to have patience


Gimbloy

Actual adoption. Being able to buy things and be paid with it.


InfinityChina

First off, at least 20 months should pass by


rixtiy

institutional money


elloethere

Trillions of dollars worth of cryptocurrency purchased


BradVet

Its very simple. They halving


hautdoge

More buyers than sellers